Bihar Election: पिछली बार कितने सही साबित हुए एग्जिट पोल के नतीजे? जानें सर्वे ने कब-कब चौंकाया

बिहार में चुनाव खत्म होते ही हर तरफ चर्चा शुरू हो चुकी है कि राज्य में अगली सरकार किसकी बनेगी?

[{"selector":"#anim-7328e1fa-d2ba-40cd-9fa4-b38942741e44","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":1200,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-1fe69ff6-479a-4030-99f2-124165e905a8","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, 146.51943%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":1200,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-8bc0a095-8b52-4a55-86b8-605a66f1144b [data-leaf-element=\"true\"]","keyframes":{"transform":["translate(13.674752098494748%, 0%) scale(1.5)","translate(0%, 0%) scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}]

2015 और 2020 के चुनावों में भी एक्जिट पोल्स के आंकड़े बिल्कुल विपरीत आए थे.

[{"selector":"#anim-ec236eff-1b39-4274-acce-9bff08334b69 [data-leaf-element=\"true\"]","keyframes":{"transform":["translate(13.674752098494748%, 0%) scale(1.5)","translate(0%, 0%) scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-3d9e673c-4aa3-4b80-91de-08dc5d89a1d6","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":1200,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-4c00f79f-873f-4f53-b02d-9ba4f44cf03b","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, 196.14702%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":1200,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}]

एक्जिट पोल के आंकड़ों का सबसे ताजा उदाहरण साल 2024 में देश में हुआ लोकसभा चुनाव है.

[{"selector":"#anim-140d1e27-b1d2-42ef-a090-dd72ab9b270e [data-leaf-element=\"true\"]","keyframes":{"transform":["translate(13.674752098494748%, 0%) scale(1.5)","translate(0%, 0%) scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-702808d4-d1c1-4447-b4a1-7dc7adb21ace","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":1200,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-36924a20-890b-4c80-9477-6369a5b8828f","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, 146.51943%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":1200,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}]

कई एक्जिट पोल्स के आंकड़ों के मुताबिक भाजपा के नेतृत्व वाली NDA को 400 से ज्यादा सीटें मिलती दिखाई गई थी

[{"selector":"#anim-cd6f9161-6ac6-41a0-b525-590575e96353 [data-leaf-element=\"true\"]","keyframes":{"transform":["translate(13.674752098494748%, 0%) scale(1.5)","translate(0%, 0%) scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-35f6fe84-280e-4ea2-91cf-da66e2604af0","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":1200,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-1d68bde0-4ef0-40d1-9042-e6b75f07fe77","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, 157.9652%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":1200,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}]

लेकिन जब आंकड़ें सामने आए तो गठबंधन को मात्र 293 सीटें ही हासिल हुई. वहीं, साल 2019 की तुलना में अकेले भाजपा को मात्र 240 सीटें ही मिलीं.

[{"selector":"#anim-06bbfdfb-4444-4e30-a911-48d5f1317c08 [data-leaf-element=\"true\"]","keyframes":{"transform":["translate(13.674752098494748%, 0%) scale(1.5)","translate(0%, 0%) scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-71abbb14-1cf0-42e5-bad4-93018e2b64e1","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":1200,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-2c146c57-5734-4805-8a9c-f7ac489e7480","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, 122.98082%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":1200,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-49ae4794-653d-4f5a-9590-848f35f3961a","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":1200,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-1acf2f46-2ebf-41fb-a474-389b228bd697","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(-106.55737%, 0px, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":1200,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}]

एग्जिट पोल ने कांग्रेस पार्टी को 44 से 64 सीटों के साथ बहुमत की सरकार बनाते हुए दिखाया था, लेकिन जब नतीजे सामने आए तो बीजेपी ने 48 सीटें हासिल की.

[{"selector":"#anim-47b5f091-3a73-4f6d-bbf9-2272ef4a8de9 [data-leaf-element=\"true\"]","keyframes":{"transform":["translate(13.674752098494748%, 0%) scale(1.5)","translate(0%, 0%) scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-542eceeb-8fbc-4b1b-9eaa-c307700d7848","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":1200,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-ae059dbc-69a4-45b3-984f-c8f353e6ccb3","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, 122.17761%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":1200,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-2627f177-afe1-4844-b4c2-be667e4d3d80","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":1200,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-3a470c1d-0ecb-4564-80f3-be20552df56c","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(-106.28415%, 0px, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":1200,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}]

एग्जिट पोल्स ने दावा किया कि राज्य में कांग्रेस पार्टी स्पष्ट बहुमत के साथ सत्ता में वापस आएगी. लेकिन भाजपा की सरकार बनी.

[{"selector":"#anim-3a690904-b145-4968-95da-6f1f7b8ab68f [data-leaf-element=\"true\"]","keyframes":{"transform":["translate(13.674752098494748%, 0%) scale(1.5)","translate(0%, 0%) scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-1a0456b9-f7d5-4186-bc02-55c57e361d5b","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":1200,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-2b6e3a06-b1c3-4180-98e1-39bc99e7b825","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, 146.26068%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":1200,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-79f1ee51-f7ac-4829-b877-bb3b18f12501","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":1200,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-6d5136d1-447f-4023-807f-7c5d0718c319","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(-106.28415%, 0px, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":1200,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}]

चुनाव के बाद एक्जिट पोल्स में आम आदमी पार्टी (AAP) की जीत को लेकर कोई संकेत नहीं थे, लेकिन जब नतीजे सामने आए तो आम आदमी पार्टी ने जीत हासिल की थी.

[{"selector":"#anim-06a1c5b7-e860-4376-bdf1-27b3405b738f [data-leaf-element=\"true\"]","keyframes":{"transform":["translate(13.674752098494748%, 0%) scale(1.5)","translate(0%, 0%) scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-b752d216-4b6a-4f38-9b38-3f354f167c37","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":1200,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-b6041eb8-1bd0-4fe1-afde-6cfdbc742da6","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, 133.42258%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":1200,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-97664cbb-d7f8-4d10-8660-86ffeb68bd3d","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":1200,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-434fab5b-627b-4a67-aa17-7ae8856567ef","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(-106.55737%, 0px, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":1200,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}]